Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
40% / 30% / 30%Resultado del partidoVictoria local40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Doble Oportunidad1270.3%1.42
Más de 44% · Menos de 56%Goals 2.5Menos de56%1.79
Sí 49% · No 51%Ambos equipos marcanNo51%1.96
2.43 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Penafiel win40%2.50
Empate30%3.33
Portimonense win30%3.33
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Local share of expected goals 56.4%
Total expected goals2.43Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Más de 44% · Menos de 56%
Visitante share of expected goals 43.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSí 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Local-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchPenafiel
LWLWL
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6
SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5
Visitante-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchPortimonense
WDWLW
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10
SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Ganado probability excluding draw
30%6
Points from supplied form
101.37
Expected goals
1.06PenafielPortimonense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Penafiel vs Portimonense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Penafiel ganada 40%，Empate 30%，Portimonense ganada 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.43 · Más de 2.5 44% · Current selection Menos de。