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PRT 葡萄牙甲級聯賽 · Round 1 ·

彭拿費爾 vs 波爾蒂芒

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝40%
30%
客勝30%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝40% selection probability
Projected score1–1彭拿費爾波爾蒂芒
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.556% for the selected side
雙方進球51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
40% / 30% / 30%比賽結果主勝40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)雙勝彩1270.3%1.42
大 44% · 小 56%Goals 2.556%1.79
是 49% · 否 51%雙方進球51%1.96
2.43 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.5 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
彭拿費爾 win40%2.50
30%3.33
波爾蒂芒 win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

彭拿費爾1.37

主隊 share of expected goals 56.4%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 44% · 56%

波爾蒂芒1.06

客隊 share of expected goals 43.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 49% · 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

彭拿費爾

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

波爾蒂芒

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
贏 probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
10
1.37
Expected goals
1.06
彭拿費爾波爾蒂芒
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01彭拿費爾 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02波爾蒂芒 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

彭拿費爾 vs 波爾蒂芒 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

彭拿費爾 40%, 30%,波爾蒂芒 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · 大2.5 44% · Current selection