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INT Перу - Лига 2 · Final ·

ФК Пирата vs Юнион Комерсио

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score1–2Прогноз 0–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев25%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей45%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 45% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей45% selection probability
Projected score0–1ФК ПиратаЮнион Комерсио
Expected goals1.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше88% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет81% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
25% / 30% / 45%Исход матчаПобеда гостей45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Пирата win (24.9%)Двойной шансX275.1%1.33
Больше 12% · Меньше 88%Goals 2.5Меньше88%1.14
Да 19% · Нет 81%Обе забьютНет81%1.23
1.20 total expected goalsТочный счёт0–1
9.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Пирата win25%4.003.6025.5%-0.5 pp
Ничья30%3.333.2028.7%+1.3 pp
Юнион Комерсио win45%2.222.0045.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Пирата0.43

Хозяева share of expected goals 35.8%

Total expected goals1.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 12% · Меньше 88%

Юнион Комерсио0.77

Гости share of expected goals 64.2%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitДа 19% · Нет 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Пирата

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Юнион Комерсио

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalГости unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
45%
7
Points from supplied form
11
0.43
Expected goals
0.77
ФК ПиратаЮнион Комерсио
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Пирата signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Юнион Комерсио signalГости unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

ФК Пирата vs Юнион Комерсио FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 0–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Пирата выигрыш 25%,Ничья 30%,Юнион Комерсио выигрыш 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.20 · ТБ 2.5 12% · Current selection Меньше