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INT Pérou - Liga 2 · Final ·

Pirata FC vs Union Comercio

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–2Pronostic 0–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile25%
Nul30%
Victoire à l’extérieur45%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 45% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur45% selection probability
Projected score0–1Pirata FCUnion Comercio
Expected goals1.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de88% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon81% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
25% / 30% / 45%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pirata FC win (24.9%)Double chanceX275.1%1.33
Plus de 12% · Moins de 88%Goals 2.5Moins de88%1.14
Oui 19% · Non 81%Les deux équipes marquentNon81%1.23
1.20 total expected goalsScore exact0–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pirata FC win25%4.003.6025.5%-0.5 pp
Nul30%3.333.2028.7%+1.3 pp
Union Comercio win45%2.222.0045.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pirata FC0.43

Domicile share of expected goals 35.8%

Total expected goals1.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 12% · Moins de 88%

Union Comercio0.77

Extérieur share of expected goals 64.2%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitOui 19% · Non 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Pirata FC

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Union Comercio

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gagné probability excluding draw
45%
7
Points from supplied form
11
0.43
Expected goals
0.77
Pirata FCUnion Comercio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pirata FC signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union Comercio signalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Pirata FC vs Union Comercio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 0–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pirata FC victoire 25%,Nul 30%,Union Comercio victoire 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.20 · Plus de 2.5 12% · Current selection Moins de