What is the Pirata FC vs Unión Comercio prediction?

The prediction is Away win, with a projected score of 0–1 and a selected-call probability of 45%.

What are the Pirata FC vs Unión Comercio 1X2 probabilities?

Pirata FC win 25%, draw 30%, and Unión Comercio win 45%.

How many goals are expected in Pirata FC vs Unión Comercio?

The displayed projection is 1.20 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 12%.

MatchFormula Find a match

UTC+8

INT Peru Liga 2 · Final · Tue, Aug 18, 00:00

Pirata FC vs Unión Comercio

Prediction review

Home form

Final score1–2Forecast 0–1

Away form

Home win25%

Draw30%

Away win45%

Full model forecastAway winTier A · 45% selection probability

Prediction WonAug 18, 2026, 02:19

Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win45% selection probability

Projected score0–1Pirata FC — Unión Comercio

Expected goals1.20Low-scoring match profile

Goals 2.5Under88% for the selected side

Both teams scoreNo81% for the selected side

Expected corners9.3Under 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

25% / 30% / 45%Match resultAway win45%2.22

Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pirata FC win (24.9%)Double chanceX275.1%1.33

Over 12% · Under 88%Goals 2.5Under88%1.14

Yes 19% · No 81%Both teams scoreNo81%1.23

1.20 total expected goalsCorrect score0–1——

9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——

Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.3 pp

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

Pirata FC win25%4.003.6025.5%-0.5 pp

Draw30%3.333.2028.7%+1.3 pp

Unión Comercio win45%2.222.0045.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pirata FC0.43

Home share of expected goals 35.8%

Total expected goals1.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 12% · Under 88%

Unión Comercio0.77

Away share of expected goals 64.2%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitYes 19% · No 81%Match profileLow-scoring

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Pirata FC

1.40pts / match

Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Unión Comercio

2.20pts / match

Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

25%

Win probability excluding draw

45%

Points from supplied form

0.43

Expected goals

0.77

Pirata FCUnión Comercio

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pirata FC signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Unión Comercio signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions