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INT Peru - Liga 2 · Final ·

Pirata FC vs Union Comercio

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score1–2Prognose 0–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg25%
Unentschieden30%
Auswärtssieg45%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 45% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg45% selection probability
Projected score0–1Pirata FCUnion Comercio
Expected goals1.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter88% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein81% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
25% / 30% / 45%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pirata FC win (24.9%)Doppelte ChanceX275.1%1.33
Über 12% · Unter 88%Goals 2.5Unter88%1.14
Ja 19% · Nein 81%Beide Teams treffenNein81%1.23
1.20 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis0–1
9.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pirata FC win25%4.003.6025.5%-0.5 pp
Unentschieden30%3.333.2028.7%+1.3 pp
Union Comercio win45%2.222.0045.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pirata FC0.43

Heim share of expected goals 35.8%

Total expected goals1.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 12% · Unter 88%

Union Comercio0.77

Auswärts share of expected goals 64.2%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitJa 19% · Nein 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Pirata FC

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Union Comercio

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
45%
7
Points from supplied form
11
0.43
Expected goals
0.77
Pirata FCUnion Comercio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pirata FC signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union Comercio signalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Pirata FC vs Union Comercio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 0–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pirata FC Gewinn 25%,Unentschieden 30%,Union Comercio Gewinn 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.20 · Über 2.5 12% · Current selection Unter