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INT Peru - Liga 2 · Final ·

Pirata FC vs Union Comercio

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–2Voorspelling 0–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst25%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst45%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 45% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst45% selection probability
Projected score0–1Pirata FCUnion Comercio
Expected goals1.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder88% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee81% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
25% / 30% / 45%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pirata FC win (24.9%)Dubbele KansX275.1%1.33
Boven 12% · Onder 88%Goals 2.5Onder88%1.14
Ja 19% · Nee 81%Beide teams scorenNee81%1.23
1.20 total expected goalsExacte score0–1
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pirata FC win25%4.003.6025.5%-0.5 pp
Gelijkspel30%3.333.2028.7%+1.3 pp
Union Comercio win45%2.222.0045.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pirata FC0.43

Thuis share of expected goals 35.8%

Total expected goals1.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 12% · Onder 88%

Union Comercio0.77

Uit share of expected goals 64.2%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitJa 19% · Nee 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Pirata FC

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Union Comercio

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalUit unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
45%
7
Points from supplied form
11
0.43
Expected goals
0.77
Pirata FCUnion Comercio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pirata FC signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union Comercio signalUit unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Pirata FC vs Union Comercio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 0–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pirata FC gewonnen 25%,Gelijkspel 30%,Union Comercio gewonnen 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.20 · Boven 2.5 12% · Current selection Onder