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INT Peru - Liga 2 · Final ·

Santos FC vs Alianza Universidad

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score3–3Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst36%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst34%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santos FCAlianza Universidad
Expected goals2.01Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder67% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
36% / 30% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.9%)Dubbele Kans1270.1%1.43
Boven 33% · Onder 67%Goals 2.5Onder67%1.49
Ja 41% · Nee 59%Beide teams scorenNee59%1.69
2.01 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapSantos FC winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santos FC win36%2.782.4536.4%-0.4 pp
Gelijkspel30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
Alianza Universidad win34%2.942.6333.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santos FC1.00

Thuis share of expected goals 49.8%

Total expected goals2.01Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 33% · Onder 67%

Alianza Universidad1.01

Uit share of expected goals 50.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nee 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Santos FC

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Alianza Universidad

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
10
1.00
Expected goals
1.01
Santos FCAlianza Universidad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santos FC signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alianza Universidad signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Santos FC vs Alianza Universidad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santos FC gewonnen 36%,Gelijkspel 30%,Alianza Universidad gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.01 · Boven 2.5 33% · Current selection Onder