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INT Perú - Liga 2 · Final ·

Santos FC vs Alianza Universidad

Prediction review

Local form
Final score3–3Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local36%
Empate30%
Victoria visitante34%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santos FCAlianza Universidad
Expected goals2.01Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de67% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
36% / 30% / 34%Resultado del partidoVictoria local36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.9%)Doble Oportunidad1270.1%1.43
Más de 33% · Menos de 67%Goals 2.5Menos de67%1.49
Sí 41% · No 59%Ambos equipos marcanNo59%1.69
2.01 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.1 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapSantos FC winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santos FC win36%2.782.4536.4%-0.4 pp
Empate30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
Alianza Universidad win34%2.942.6333.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santos FC1.00

Local share of expected goals 49.8%

Total expected goals2.01Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 33% · Menos de 67%

Alianza Universidad1.01

Visitante share of expected goals 50.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 41% · No 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Santos FC

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Alianza Universidad

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganado probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
10
1.00
Expected goals
1.01
Santos FCAlianza Universidad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santos FC signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alianza Universidad signalLocal failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Santos FC vs Alianza Universidad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santos FC ganada 36%,Empate 30%,Alianza Universidad ganada 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.01 · Más de 2.5 33% · Current selection Menos de