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INT Perù - Liga 2 · Final ·

Santos FC vs Alianza Universidad

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score3–3Pronostico 1–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa36%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite34%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Perso
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santos FCAlianza Universidad
Expected goals2.01Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto67% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
36% / 30% / 34%Esito partitaVittoria casa36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.9%)Doppia Chance1270.1%1.43
Sopra 33% · Sotto 67%Goals 2.5Sotto67%1.49
Sì 41% · No 59%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo59%1.69
2.01 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.1 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapSantos FC winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santos FC win36%2.782.4536.4%-0.4 pp
Pareggio30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
Alianza Universidad win34%2.942.6333.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santos FC1.00

Casa share of expected goals 49.8%

Total expected goals2.01Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 33% · Sotto 67%

Alianza Universidad1.01

Trasferta share of expected goals 50.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 41% · No 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Santos FC

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Alianza Universidad

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
10
1.00
Expected goals
1.01
Santos FCAlianza Universidad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santos FC signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alianza Universidad signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Santos FC vs Alianza Universidad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santos FC vinta 36%,Pareggio 30%,Alianza Universidad vinta 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.01 · Sopra 2.5 33% · Current selection Sotto