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INT Peru - Liga 2 · Final ·

Santos FC vs Alianza Universidad

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score3–3Previsão 1–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa36%
Empate30%
Vitória visitante34%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Errou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santos FCAlianza Universidad
Expected goals2.01Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo67% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
36% / 30% / 34%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.9%)Dupla Chance1270.1%1.43
Acima 33% · Abaixo 67%Goals 2.5Abaixo67%1.49
Sim 41% · Não 59%Ambas as equipes marcamNão59%1.69
2.01 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapSantos FC winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santos FC win36%2.782.4536.4%-0.4 pp
Empate30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
Alianza Universidad win34%2.942.6333.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santos FC1.00

Mandante share of expected goals 49.8%

Total expected goals2.01Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 33% · Abaixo 67%

Alianza Universidad1.01

Visitante share of expected goals 50.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 41% · Não 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Santos FC

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Alianza Universidad

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
10
1.00
Expected goals
1.01
Santos FCAlianza Universidad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santos FC signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alianza Universidad signalMandante failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Santos FC vs Alianza Universidad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santos FC ganhou 36%,Empate 30%,Alianza Universidad ganhou 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.01 · Acima 2.5 33% · Current selection Abaixo