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CHL Chile - Segunda División · Final ·

Santiago Morning vs Deportes Colina

Prediction review

Local form
Final score2–1Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local44%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante28%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santiago MorningDeportes Colina
Expected goals2.09Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de65% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
44% / 28% / 28%Resultado del partidoVictoria local44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Doble Oportunidad1272%1.39
Más de 35% · Menos de 65%Goals 2.5Menos de65%1.54
Sí 42% · No 58%Ambos equipos marcanNo58%1.72
2.09 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapSantiago Morning winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santiago Morning win44%2.272.0044.8%-0.8 pp
Empate28%3.573.2527.6%+0.4 pp
Deportes Colina win28%3.573.2527.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santiago Morning0.96

Local share of expected goals 45.9%

Total expected goals2.09Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 35% · Menos de 65%

Deportes Colina1.13

Visitante share of expected goals 54.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 42% · No 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Santiago Morning

0.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puntos2

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Deportes Colina

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganado probability excluding draw
28%
2
Points from supplied form
4
0.96
Expected goals
1.13
Santiago MorningDeportes Colina
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santiago Morning signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportes Colina signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Santiago Morning vs Deportes Colina FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santiago Morning ganada 44%,Empate 28%,Deportes Colina ganada 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.09 · Más de 2.5 35% · Current selection Menos de