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INT Перу - Лига 2 · Final ·

Пирата vs Унион Комерсио

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score1–2Прогноза 0–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина25%
Равен30%
Победа за госта45%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 45% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта45% selection probability
Projected score0–1ПиратаУнион Комерсио
Expected goals1.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под88% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе81% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
25% / 30% / 45%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Пирата win (24.9%)Двоен шансX275.1%1.33
Над 12% · Под 88%Goals 2.5Под88%1.14
Да 19% · Не 81%И двата отбора да отбележатНе81%1.23
1.20 total expected goalsТочен резултат0–1
9.3 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Пирата win25%4.003.6025.5%-0.5 pp
Равен30%3.333.2028.7%+1.3 pp
Унион Комерсио win45%2.222.0045.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Пирата0.43

Домакин share of expected goals 35.8%

Total expected goals1.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 12% · Под 88%

Унион Комерсио0.77

Гост share of expected goals 64.2%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitДа 19% · Не 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Пирата

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Унион Комерсио

2.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Точки11

SignalГост unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
45%
7
Points from supplied form
11
0.43
Expected goals
0.77
ПиратаУнион Комерсио
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Пирата signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Унион Комерсио signalГост unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Пирата vs Унион Комерсио FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 0–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Пирата печеливш 25%,Равен 30%,Унион Комерсио печеливш 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.20 · Над 2.5 12% · Current selection Под