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JPN Япония - Джей-лига - Кубок · Round 1 ·

Нагано Парсейро vs Ренофа Ямагути

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.68 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев29%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей44%
Market-based forecastПобеда гостейTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Нагано ПарсейроРенофа Ямагути
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше50% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
29% / 28% / 44%Исход матчаПобеда гостей44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Двойной шанс1272.5%1.38
Больше 50% · Меньше 50%Goals 2.5Меньше50%2.00
Да 55% · Нет 45%Обе забьютДа55%1.82
2.68 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.2 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Нагано Парсейро win29%3.453.2527.6%
Ничья28%3.573.2527.6%
Ренофа Ямагути win44%2.272.0044.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Нагано Парсейро1.24

Хозяева share of expected goals 46.3%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 50% · Меньше 50%

Ренофа Ямагути1.44

Гости share of expected goals 53.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 55% · Нет 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Нагано Парсейро

0.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Баллы0

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Ренофа Ямагути

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
44%
0
Points from supplied form
10
1.24
Expected goals
1.44
Нагано ПарсейроРенофа Ямагути
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Нагано Парсейро signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ренофа Ямагути signalХозяева failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Нагано Парсейро vs Ренофа Ямагути FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Нагано Парсейро выигрыш 29%,Ничья 28%,Ренофа Ямагути выигрыш 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · ТБ 2.5 50% · Current selection Меньше