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JPN Japonia - J3-League · Round 1 ·

Nagano Parceiro vs Renofa Yamaguchi

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.68 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy29%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości44%
Market-based forecastWygrana gościTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nagano ParceiroRenofa Yamaguchi
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej50% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
29% / 28% / 44%Wynik meczuWygrana gości44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Podwójna szansa1272.5%1.38
Powyżej 50% · Poniżej 50%Goals 2.5Poniżej50%2.00
Tak 55% · Nie 45%Obie drużyny strzeląTak55%1.82
2.68 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
10.2 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimBrak
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nagano Parceiro win29%3.453.2527.6%
Remis28%3.573.2527.6%
Renofa Yamaguchi win44%2.272.0044.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nagano Parceiro1.24

Gospodarze share of expected goals 46.3%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 50% · Poniżej 50%

Renofa Yamaguchi1.44

Goście share of expected goals 53.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 55% · Nie 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Nagano Parceiro

0.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punkty0

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Renofa Yamaguchi

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
44%
0
Points from supplied form
10
1.24
Expected goals
1.44
Nagano ParceiroRenofa Yamaguchi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nagano Parceiro signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Renofa Yamaguchi signalGospodarze failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Nagano Parceiro vs Renofa Yamaguchi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nagano Parceiro wygrana 29%,Remis 28%,Renofa Yamaguchi wygrana 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Powyżej 2.5 50% · Current selection Poniżej