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JPN Japan J3-League · Round 1 ·

Nagano Parceiro vs Renofa Yamaguchi

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.68 expected goals
Away form
Home win29%
Draw28%
Away win44%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nagano ParceiroRenofa Yamaguchi
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
29% / 28% / 44%Match resultAway win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Double chance1272.5%1.38
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.68 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nagano Parceiro win29%3.453.2527.6%
Draw28%3.573.2527.6%
Renofa Yamaguchi win44%2.272.0044.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nagano Parceiro1.24

Home share of expected goals 46.3%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

Renofa Yamaguchi1.44

Away share of expected goals 53.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Nagano Parceiro

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Renofa Yamaguchi

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Win probability excluding draw
44%
0
Points from supplied form
10
1.24
Expected goals
1.44
Nagano ParceiroRenofa Yamaguchi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nagano Parceiro signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Renofa Yamaguchi signalHome failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Nagano Parceiro vs Renofa Yamaguchi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nagano Parceiro win 29%,Draw 28%,Renofa Yamaguchi win 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Under