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INT Australia Victoria PL 1 U23 · Матч ·

Мельбурн Сербия U23 vs North Geelong U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–23.60 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев22%
Ничья19%
Победа гостей59%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей59% selection probability
Projected score2–2Мельбурн Сербия U23North Geelong U23
Expected goals3.60Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше70% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
22% / 19% / 59%Исход матчаПобеда гостей59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (18.7%)Двойной шанс1281.3%1.23
Больше 70% · Меньше 30%Goals 2.5Больше70%1.43
Да 70% · Нет 30%Обе забьютДа70%1.43
3.60 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–2
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapNorth Geelong U23 winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Мельбурн Сербия U23 win22%4.554.3321%+1.0 pp
Ничья19%5.265.0018.2%+0.8 pp
North Geelong U23 win59%1.691.5060.7%-1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Мельбурн Сербия U231.75

Хозяева share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals3.60Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 70% · Меньше 30%

North Geelong U231.85

Гости share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 70% · Нет 30%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Мельбурн Сербия U23

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

North Geelong U23

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
59%
3
Points from supplied form
8
1.75
Expected goals
1.85
Мельбурн Сербия U23North Geelong U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Мельбурн Сербия U23 signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02North Geelong U23 signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Мельбурн Сербия U23 vs North Geelong U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 2–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Мельбурн Сербия U23 выигрыш 22%,Ничья 19%,North Geelong U23 выигрыш 59%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.60 · ТБ 2.5 70% · Current selection Больше