Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
22% / 19% / 59%Match resultAway win59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (18.7%)Double chance1281.3%1.23
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Yes 70% · No 30%Both teams scoreYes70%1.43
3.60 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapNorth Geelong U23 winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Melbourne Srbija U23 win22%4.554.3321%+1.0 pp
Draw19%5.265.0018.2%+0.8 pp
North Geelong U23 win59%1.691.5060.7%-1.7 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 48.6%
Total expected goals3.60Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%
Away share of expected goals 51.4%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 70% · No 30%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchMelbourne Srbija U23
LLLLW
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchNorth Geelong U23
LWDWD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalAway unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
22%
Win probability excluding draw
59%3
Points from supplied form
81.75
Expected goals
1.85Melbourne Srbija U23North Geelong U23
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.
Match questions
Melbourne Srbija U23 vs North Geelong U23 FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 59% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Melbourne Srbija U23 win 22%，Draw 19%，North Geelong U23 win 59%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.60 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over。