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INT Australia Victoria PL 1 U23 · Match ·

Melbourne Srbija - U23 vs North Geelong - U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.60 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile22%
Nul19%
Victoire à l’extérieur59%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur59% selection probability
Projected score2–2Melbourne Srbija - U23North Geelong - U23
Expected goals3.60Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de70% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
22% / 19% / 59%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (18.7%)Double chance1281.3%1.23
Plus de 70% · Moins de 30%Goals 2.5Plus de70%1.43
Oui 70% · Non 30%Les deux équipes marquentOui70%1.43
3.60 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
9.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapNorth Geelong - U23 winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Melbourne Srbija - U23 win22%4.554.3321%+1.0 pp
Nul19%5.265.0018.2%+0.8 pp
North Geelong - U23 win59%1.691.5060.7%-1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Melbourne Srbija - U231.75

Domicile share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals3.60Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 70% · Moins de 30%

North Geelong - U231.85

Extérieur share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 70% · Non 30%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Melbourne Srbija - U23

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

North Geelong - U23

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Gagné probability excluding draw
59%
3
Points from supplied form
8
1.75
Expected goals
1.85
Melbourne Srbija - U23North Geelong - U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Melbourne Srbija - U23 signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02North Geelong - U23 signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Melbourne Srbija - U23 vs North Geelong - U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Melbourne Srbija - U23 victoire 22%,Nul 19%,North Geelong - U23 victoire 59%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.60 · Plus de 2.5 70% · Current selection Plus de