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INT Australia Victoria PL 1 U23 · Match ·

Melbourne Srbija U23 vs North Geelong U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–23.60 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger22%
Oavgjort19%
Bortaseger59%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger59% selection probability
Projected score2–2Melbourne Srbija U23North Geelong U23
Expected goals3.60Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över70% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
22% / 19% / 59%MatchresultatBortaseger59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (18.7%)Dubbelchans1281.3%1.23
Över 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Över70%1.43
Ja 70% · Nej 30%Båda lagen gör målJa70%1.43
3.60 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
9.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapNorth Geelong U23 winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Melbourne Srbija U23 win22%4.554.3321%+1.0 pp
Oavgjort19%5.265.0018.2%+0.8 pp
North Geelong U23 win59%1.691.5060.7%-1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Melbourne Srbija U231.75

Hemma share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals3.60Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 70% · Under 30%

North Geelong U231.85

Borta share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 70% · Nej 30%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Melbourne Srbija U23

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

North Geelong U23

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
59%
3
Points from supplied form
8
1.75
Expected goals
1.85
Melbourne Srbija U23North Geelong U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Melbourne Srbija U23 signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02North Geelong U23 signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Melbourne Srbija U23 vs North Geelong U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 2–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Melbourne Srbija U23 vunnen 22%,Oavgjort 19%,North Geelong U23 vunnen 59%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.60 · Över 2.5 70% · Current selection Över