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INT Australia Victoria PL 1 U23 · Trận đấu ·

Melbourne Srbija U23 vs North Geelong U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–23.60 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng22%
Hòa19%
Đội khách thắng59%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng59% selection probability
Projected score2–2Melbourne Srbija U23North Geelong U23
Expected goals3.60Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài70% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
22% / 19% / 59%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (18.7%)Cơ hội kép1281.3%1.23
Tài 70% · Xỉu 30%Goals 2.5Tài70%1.43
Có 70% · Không 30%Cả hai đội ghi bàn70%1.43
3.60 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–2
9.4 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapNorth Geelong U23 winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Melbourne Srbija U23 win22%4.554.3321%+1.0 pp
Hòa19%5.265.0018.2%+0.8 pp
North Geelong U23 win59%1.691.5060.7%-1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Melbourne Srbija U231.75

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals3.60Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 70% · Xỉu 30%

North Geelong U231.85

Khách share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 70% · Không 30%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Melbourne Srbija U23

0.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Điểm3

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

North Geelong U23

1.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Điểm8

SignalKhách unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Thắng probability excluding draw
59%
3
Points from supplied form
8
1.75
Expected goals
1.85
Melbourne Srbija U23North Geelong U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Melbourne Srbija U23 signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02North Geelong U23 signalKhách unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Melbourne Srbija U23 vs North Geelong U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 2–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Melbourne Srbija U23 thắng 22%,Hòa 19%,North Geelong U23 thắng 59%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.60 · Tài 2.5 70% · Current selection Tài