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POL Польша - Лига III · Final ·

Стар Стараховице vs Чарни Поланиец

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score2–0Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев38%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей37%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 38% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Стар СтараховицеЧарни Поланиец
Expected goals2.23Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
38% / 24% / 37%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Двойной шанс1275.7%1.32
Больше 38% · Меньше 62%Goals 2.5Меньше62%1.61
Да 45% · Нет 55%Обе забьютНет55%1.82
2.23 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.5 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapСтар Стараховице winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Стар Стараховице win38%2.632.3038.9%-0.9 pp
Ничья24%4.173.7523.8%+0.2 pp
Чарни Поланиец win37%2.702.4037.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Стар Стараховице1.04

Хозяева share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 38% · Меньше 62%

Чарни Поланиец1.19

Гости share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Нет 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Стар Стараховице

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Чарни Поланиец

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
37%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.04
Expected goals
1.19
Стар СтараховицеЧарни Поланиец
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Стар Стараховице signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Чарни Поланиец signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Стар Стараховице vs Чарни Поланиец FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Стар Стараховице выигрыш 38%,Ничья 24%,Чарни Поланиец выигрыш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.23 · ТБ 2.5 38% · Current selection Меньше