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POL Polen - 3. Liga · Final ·

Star Starachowice vs Czarni Polaniec

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score2–0Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg38%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg37%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 38% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Star StarachowiceCzarni Polaniec
Expected goals2.23Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter62% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
38% / 24% / 37%SpielergebnisHeimsieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Doppelte Chance1275.7%1.32
Über 38% · Unter 62%Goals 2.5Unter62%1.61
Ja 45% · Nein 55%Beide Teams treffenNein55%1.82
2.23 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.5 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapStar Starachowice winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Star Starachowice win38%2.632.3038.9%-0.9 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.7523.8%+0.2 pp
Czarni Polaniec win37%2.702.4037.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Star Starachowice1.04

Heim share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 38% · Unter 62%

Czarni Polaniec1.19

Auswärts share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nein 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Star Starachowice

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Czarni Polaniec

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
37%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.04
Expected goals
1.19
Star StarachowiceCzarni Polaniec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Star Starachowice signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Czarni Polaniec signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Star Starachowice vs Czarni Polaniec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Star Starachowice Gewinn 38%,Unentschieden 24%,Czarni Polaniec Gewinn 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.23 · Über 2.5 38% · Current selection Unter