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POL Polska - 3. Liga · Final ·

MKS Star Starachowice vs Czarni Połaniec

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score2–0Prognoza 1–1
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy38%
Remis24%
Wygrana gości37%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 38% selection probability
Prediction Trafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy38% selection probability
Projected score1–1MKS Star StarachowiceCzarni Połaniec
Expected goals2.23Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej62% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
38% / 24% / 37%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Podwójna szansa1275.7%1.32
Powyżej 38% · Poniżej 62%Goals 2.5Poniżej62%1.61
Tak 45% · Nie 55%Obie drużyny strzeląNie55%1.82
2.23 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
10.5 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapMKS Star Starachowice winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MKS Star Starachowice win38%2.632.3038.9%-0.9 pp
Remis24%4.173.7523.8%+0.2 pp
Czarni Połaniec win37%2.702.4037.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MKS Star Starachowice1.04

Gospodarze share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 38% · Poniżej 62%

Czarni Połaniec1.19

Goście share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 45% · Nie 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

MKS Star Starachowice

0.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkty2

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Czarni Połaniec

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
37%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.04
Expected goals
1.19
MKS Star StarachowiceCzarni Połaniec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MKS Star Starachowice signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Czarni Połaniec signalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

MKS Star Starachowice vs Czarni Połaniec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MKS Star Starachowice wygrana 38%,Remis 24%,Czarni Połaniec wygrana 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.23 · Powyżej 2.5 38% · Current selection Poniżej