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POL Polen - III Liga · Final ·

Star Starachowice vs Czarni Polaniec

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score2–0Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst38%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst37%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 38% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Star StarachowiceCzarni Polaniec
Expected goals2.23Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder62% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
38% / 24% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Dubbele Kans1275.7%1.32
Boven 38% · Onder 62%Goals 2.5Onder62%1.61
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.23 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapStar Starachowice winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Star Starachowice win38%2.632.3038.9%-0.9 pp
Gelijkspel24%4.173.7523.8%+0.2 pp
Czarni Polaniec win37%2.702.4037.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Star Starachowice1.04

Thuis share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 38% · Onder 62%

Czarni Polaniec1.19

Uit share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Star Starachowice

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Czarni Polaniec

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.04
Expected goals
1.19
Star StarachowiceCzarni Polaniec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Star Starachowice signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Czarni Polaniec signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Star Starachowice vs Czarni Polaniec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Star Starachowice gewonnen 38%,Gelijkspel 24%,Czarni Polaniec gewonnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.23 · Boven 2.5 38% · Current selection Onder