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POL Полша - Лига 3 · Final ·

Стар Стараховице vs Царни Поланиец

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score2–0Прогноза 1–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина38%
Равен24%
Победа за госта37%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 38% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Стар СтараховицеЦарни Поланиец
Expected goals2.23Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под62% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
38% / 24% / 37%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Двоен шанс1275.7%1.32
Над 38% · Под 62%Goals 2.5Под62%1.61
Да 45% · Не 55%И двата отбора да отбележатНе55%1.82
2.23 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.5 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapСтар Стараховице winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Стар Стараховице win38%2.632.3038.9%-0.9 pp
Равен24%4.173.7523.8%+0.2 pp
Царни Поланиец win37%2.702.4037.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Стар Стараховице1.04

Домакин share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 38% · Под 62%

Царни Поланиец1.19

Гост share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Не 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Стар Стараховице

0.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Точки2

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Царни Поланиец

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
37%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.04
Expected goals
1.19
Стар СтараховицеЦарни Поланиец
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Стар Стараховице signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Царни Поланиец signalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Стар Стараховице vs Царни Поланиец FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Стар Стараховице печеливш 38%,Равен 24%,Царни Поланиец печеливш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.23 · Над 2.5 38% · Current selection Под