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CHL Чили - Терсера · Матч ·

Наваль Талькауано vs Club Aguara

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев41%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей31%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев41% selection probability
Projected score2–1Наваль ТалькауаноClub Aguara
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
41% / 28% / 31%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Двойной шанс1272.3%1.38
Больше 56% · Меньше 44%Goals 2.5Больше56%1.79
Да 59% · Нет 41%Обе забьютДа59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.2 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Наваль Талькауано win41%2.44
Ничья28%3.57
Club Aguara win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Наваль Талькауано1.64

Хозяева share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 56% · Меньше 44%

Club Aguara1.29

Гости share of expected goals 44%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 59% · Нет 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Наваль Талькауано

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Club Aguara

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
31%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.64
Expected goals
1.29
Наваль ТалькауаноClub Aguara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Наваль Талькауано signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Aguara signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Наваль Талькауано vs Club Aguara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Наваль Талькауано выигрыш 41%,Ничья 28%,Club Aguara выигрыш 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · ТБ 2.5 56% · Current selection Больше