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CHL Chile - Tercera · Match ·

Naval Talcahuano vs Club Aguara

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger41%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger31%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger41% selection probability
Projected score2–1Naval TalcahuanoClub Aguara
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över56% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
41% / 28% / 31%MatchresultatHemmaseger41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Dubbelchans1272.3%1.38
Över 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Över56%1.79
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Båda lagen gör målJa59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.2 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Naval Talcahuano win41%2.44
Oavgjort28%3.57
Club Aguara win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Naval Talcahuano1.64

Hemma share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 56% · Under 44%

Club Aguara1.29

Borta share of expected goals 44%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Naval Talcahuano

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Club Aguara

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
31%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.64
Expected goals
1.29
Naval TalcahuanoClub Aguara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Naval Talcahuano signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Aguara signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Naval Talcahuano vs Club Aguara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Naval Talcahuano vunnen 41%,Oavgjort 28%,Club Aguara vunnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Över 2.5 56% · Current selection Över