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CHL Chile Tercera · Maç ·

Naval Talcahuano vs Club Aguara

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır41%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır31%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır41% selection probability
Projected score2–1Naval TalcahuanoClub Aguara
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst56% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
41% / 28% / 31%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Çifte Şans1272.3%1.38
Üst 56% · Alt 44%Goals 2.5Üst56%1.79
Evet 59% · Hayır 41%Karşılıklı gol varEvet59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
10.2 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Naval Talcahuano win41%2.44
Beraberlik28%3.57
Club Aguara win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Naval Talcahuano1.64

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 56% · Alt 44%

Club Aguara1.29

Deplasman share of expected goals 44%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 59% · Hayır 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Naval Talcahuano

2.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puan11

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Club Aguara

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puan6

SignalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
31%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.64
Expected goals
1.29
Naval TalcahuanoClub Aguara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Naval Talcahuano signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Aguara signalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Naval Talcahuano vs Club Aguara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Naval Talcahuano kazanç 41%,Beraberlik 28%,Club Aguara kazanç 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · 2.5 Üst 56% · Current selection Üst