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CHL Cile - Tercera · Partita ·

Naval Talcahuano vs Club Aguara

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa41%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite31%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa41% selection probability
Projected score2–1Naval TalcahuanoClub Aguara
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra56% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
41% / 28% / 31%Esito partitaVittoria casa41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Doppia Chance1272.3%1.38
Sopra 56% · Sotto 44%Goals 2.5Sopra56%1.79
Sì 59% · No 41%Entrambe le squadre segnano59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Naval Talcahuano win41%2.44
Pareggio28%3.57
Club Aguara win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Naval Talcahuano1.64

Casa share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 56% · Sotto 44%

Club Aguara1.29

Trasferta share of expected goals 44%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Naval Talcahuano

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Club Aguara

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vinta probability excluding draw
31%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.64
Expected goals
1.29
Naval TalcahuanoClub Aguara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Naval Talcahuano signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Aguara signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Naval Talcahuano vs Club Aguara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Naval Talcahuano vinta 41%,Pareggio 28%,Club Aguara vinta 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Sopra 2.5 56% · Current selection Sopra