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INT Португалия - Лига 3 · Final ·

КФ Ос Белененсес vs Кальдас

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score1–0Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев58%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей17%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 58% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев58% selection probability
Projected score2–1КФ Ос БелененсесКальдас
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
58% / 26% / 17%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Кальдас win (16.9%)Двойной шанс1X83.1%1.20
Больше 53% · Меньше 47%Goals 2.5Больше53%1.89
Да 46% · Нет 54%Обе забьютНет54%1.85
2.78 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.1%Largest probability gapКФ Ос Белененсес winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
КФ Ос Белененсес win58%1.721.6056.8%+1.2 pp
Ничья26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Кальдас win17%5.885.2517.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

КФ Ос Белененсес2.04

Хозяева share of expected goals 73.4%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 53% · Меньше 47%

Кальдас0.74

Гости share of expected goals 26.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Нет 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

КФ Ос Белененсес

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Кальдас

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
17%
8
Points from supplied form
5
2.04
Expected goals
0.74
КФ Ос БелененсесКальдас
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01КФ Ос Белененсес signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Кальдас signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

КФ Ос Белененсес vs Кальдас FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

КФ Ос Белененсес выигрыш 58%,Ничья 26%,Кальдас выигрыш 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · ТБ 2.5 53% · Current selection Больше