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INT Portugal - 3. Liga · Spiel ·

CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.78 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg58%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg17%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg58% selection probability
Projected score2–1CF Os BelenensesCaldas SC
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
58% / 26% / 17%SpielergebnisHeimsieg58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Caldas SC win (16.9%)Doppelte Chance1X83.1%1.20
Über 53% · Unter 47%Goals 2.5Über53%1.89
Ja 46% · Nein 54%Beide Teams treffenNein54%1.85
2.78 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.1%Largest probability gapCF Os Belenenses winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CF Os Belenenses win58%1.721.6056.8%+1.2 pp
Unentschieden26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Caldas SC win17%5.885.2517.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CF Os Belenenses2.04

Heim share of expected goals 73.4%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 53% · Unter 47%

Caldas SC0.74

Auswärts share of expected goals 26.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nein 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

CF Os Belenenses

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Caldas SC

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
17%
8
Points from supplied form
5
2.04
Expected goals
0.74
CF Os BelenensesCaldas SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CF Os Belenenses signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Caldas SC signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CF Os Belenenses Gewinn 58%,Unentschieden 26%,Caldas SC Gewinn 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Über 2.5 53% · Current selection Über