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INT Portugal - Liga 3 · Final ·

CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas SC

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–0Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst58%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst17%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 58% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst58% selection probability
Projected score2–1CF Os BelenensesCaldas SC
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
58% / 26% / 17%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Caldas SC win (16.9%)Dubbele Kans1X83.1%1.20
Boven 53% · Onder 47%Goals 2.5Boven53%1.89
Ja 46% · Nee 54%Beide teams scorenNee54%1.85
2.78 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.1%Largest probability gapCF Os Belenenses winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CF Os Belenenses win58%1.721.6056.8%+1.2 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Caldas SC win17%5.885.2517.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CF Os Belenenses2.04

Thuis share of expected goals 73.4%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 53% · Onder 47%

Caldas SC0.74

Uit share of expected goals 26.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nee 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

CF Os Belenenses

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Caldas SC

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
17%
8
Points from supplied form
5
2.04
Expected goals
0.74
CF Os BelenensesCaldas SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CF Os Belenenses signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Caldas SC signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CF Os Belenenses gewonnen 58%,Gelijkspel 26%,Caldas SC gewonnen 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Boven 2.5 53% · Current selection Boven