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INT Portugalsko - Liga 3 · Final ·

CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas SC

Prediction review

Domáci form
Final score1–0Predpoveď 2–1
Hostia form
Výhra domácich58%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostí17%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 58% selection probability
Prediction Úspešná
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich58% selection probability
Projected score2–1CF Os BelenensesCaldas SC
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac53% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
58% / 26% / 17%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Caldas SC win (16.9%)Dvojitá šanca1X83.1%1.20
Viac 53% · Menej 47%Goals 2.5Viac53%1.89
Áno 46% · Nie 54%Oba tímy skórujúNie54%1.85
2.78 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.4 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.1%Largest probability gapCF Os Belenenses winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CF Os Belenenses win58%1.721.6056.8%+1.2 pp
Remíza26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Caldas SC win17%5.885.2517.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CF Os Belenenses2.04

Domáci share of expected goals 73.4%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 53% · Menej 47%

Caldas SC0.74

Hostia share of expected goals 26.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 46% · Nie 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

CF Os Belenenses

1.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Caldas SC

1.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Výhra probability excluding draw
17%
8
Points from supplied form
5
2.04
Expected goals
0.74
CF Os BelenensesCaldas SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CF Os Belenenses signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Caldas SC signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CF Os Belenenses výhra 58%,Remíza 26%,Caldas SC výhra 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Viac 2.5 53% · Current selection Viac