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INT Portugalsko - Liga 3 · Zápas ·

CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–12.78 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích58%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostů17%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích58% selection probability
Projected score2–1CF Os BelenensesCaldas SC
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Více53% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
58% / 26% / 17%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Caldas SC win (16.9%)Dvojitá šance1X83.1%1.20
Více 53% · Méně 47%Goals 2.5Více53%1.89
Ano 46% · Ne 54%Oba týmy skórujíNe54%1.85
2.78 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
9.4 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.1%Largest probability gapCF Os Belenenses winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CF Os Belenenses win58%1.721.6056.8%+1.2 pp
Remíza26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Caldas SC win17%5.885.2517.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CF Os Belenenses2.04

Domácí share of expected goals 73.4%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 53% · Méně 47%

Caldas SC0.74

Hosté share of expected goals 26.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 46% · Ne 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

CF Os Belenenses

1.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Caldas SC

1.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Výhra probability excluding draw
17%
8
Points from supplied form
5
2.04
Expected goals
0.74
CF Os BelenensesCaldas SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CF Os Belenenses signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Caldas SC signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CF Os Belenenses výhra 58%,Remíza 26%,Caldas SC výhra 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Více 2.5 53% · Current selection Více