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BGR Болгария - Первая лига · Final ·

ЦСКА София vs Ботев Враца

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score5–0Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев67%
Ничья22%
Победа гостей10%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 67% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев67% selection probability
Projected score1–1ЦСКА СофияБотев Враца
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше69% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
67% / 22% / 10%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ботев Враца win (10.2%)Двойной шанс1X89.8%1.11
Больше 31% · Меньше 69%Goals 2.5Меньше69%1.45
Да 33% · Нет 67%Обе забьютНет67%1.49
1.97 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapЦСКА София winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ЦСКА София win67%1.491.3868.3%-1.3 pp
Ничья22%4.554.3321.8%+0.2 pp
Ботев Враца win10%10.009.509.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ЦСКА София1.40

Хозяева share of expected goals 71.1%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 31% · Меньше 69%

Ботев Враца0.57

Гости share of expected goals 28.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 33% · Нет 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ЦСКА София

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Ботев Враца

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
10%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.40
Expected goals
0.57
ЦСКА СофияБотев Враца
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ЦСКА София signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ботев Враца signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

ЦСКА София vs Ботев Враца FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ЦСКА София выигрыш 67%,Ничья 22%,Ботев Враца выигрыш 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · ТБ 2.5 31% · Current selection Меньше