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BGR Bulgarien - 1. liga · Final ·

CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score5–0Prognose 1–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr67%
Uafgjort22%
Udesejr10%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 67% selection probability
Prediction Vundet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr67% selection probability
Projected score1–1CSKA SofiaBotev Vratsa
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under69% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
67% / 22% / 10%KampresultatHjemmesejr67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botev Vratsa win (10.2%)Dobbeltchance1X89.8%1.11
Over 31% · Under 69%Goals 2.5Under69%1.45
Ja 33% · Nej 67%Begge hold scorerNej67%1.49
1.97 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapCSKA Sofia winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CSKA Sofia win67%1.491.3868.3%-1.3 pp
Uafgjort22%4.554.3321.8%+0.2 pp
Botev Vratsa win10%10.009.509.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CSKA Sofia1.40

Hjemme share of expected goals 71.1%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 31% · Under 69%

Botev Vratsa0.57

Ude share of expected goals 28.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 33% · Nej 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

CSKA Sofia

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Botev Vratsa

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Vundet probability excluding draw
10%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.40
Expected goals
0.57
CSKA SofiaBotev Vratsa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CSKA Sofia signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botev Vratsa signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CSKA Sofia vundet 67%,Uafgjort 22%,Botev Vratsa vundet 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Over 2.5 31% · Current selection Under