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BGR Bulgária - 1. liga · Final ·

CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa

Prediction review

Hazai form
Final score5–0Előrejelzés 1–1
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem67%
Döntetlen22%
Vendég győzelem10%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 67% selection probability
Prediction Nyert
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem67% selection probability
Projected score1–1CSKA SofiaBotev Vratsa
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt69% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
67% / 22% / 10%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botev Vratsa win (10.2%)Dupla esély1X89.8%1.11
Felett 31% · Alatt 69%Goals 2.5Alatt69%1.45
Igen 33% · Nem 67%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem67%1.49
1.97 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
9.2 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapCSKA Sofia winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CSKA Sofia win67%1.491.3868.3%-1.3 pp
Döntetlen22%4.554.3321.8%+0.2 pp
Botev Vratsa win10%10.009.509.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CSKA Sofia1.40

Hazai share of expected goals 71.1%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 31% · Alatt 69%

Botev Vratsa0.57

Vendég share of expected goals 28.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 33% · Nem 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

CSKA Sofia

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Botev Vratsa

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontok4

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Nyert probability excluding draw
10%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.40
Expected goals
0.57
CSKA SofiaBotev Vratsa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CSKA Sofia signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botev Vratsa signalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CSKA Sofia nyer 67%,Döntetlen 22%,Botev Vratsa nyer 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · 2.5 felett 31% · Current selection Alatt