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BGR Bulgaria - Primera Liga · Final ·

CSKA Sofía vs Botev Vratsa

Prediction review

Local form
Final score5–0Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local67%
Empate22%
Victoria visitante10%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 67% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local67% selection probability
Projected score1–1CSKA SofíaBotev Vratsa
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de69% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
67% / 22% / 10%Resultado del partidoVictoria local67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botev Vratsa win (10.2%)Doble Oportunidad1X89.8%1.11
Más de 31% · Menos de 69%Goals 2.5Menos de69%1.45
Sí 33% · No 67%Ambos equipos marcanNo67%1.49
1.97 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapCSKA Sofía winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CSKA Sofía win67%1.491.3868.3%-1.3 pp
Empate22%4.554.3321.8%+0.2 pp
Botev Vratsa win10%10.009.509.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CSKA Sofía1.40

Local share of expected goals 71.1%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 31% · Menos de 69%

Botev Vratsa0.57

Visitante share of expected goals 28.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 33% · No 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

CSKA Sofía

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Botev Vratsa

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Ganado probability excluding draw
10%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.40
Expected goals
0.57
CSKA SofíaBotev Vratsa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CSKA Sofía signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botev Vratsa signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

CSKA Sofía vs Botev Vratsa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CSKA Sofía ganada 67%,Empate 22%,Botev Vratsa ganada 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Más de 2.5 31% · Current selection Menos de