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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Матч ·

BFA Vilnius vs ФК Трансинвест II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.30 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев56%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей20%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев56% selection probability
Projected score2–1BFA VilniusФК Трансинвест II
Expected goals3.30Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше64% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
56% / 24% / 20%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Трансинвест II win (20.3%)Двойной шанс1X79.7%1.25
Больше 64% · Меньше 36%Goals 2.5Больше64%1.56
Да 57% · Нет 43%Обе забьютДа57%1.75
3.30 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.0 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
BFA Vilnius win56%1.79
Ничья24%4.17
ФК Трансинвест II win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

BFA Vilnius2.29

Хозяева share of expected goals 69.4%

Total expected goals3.30Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 64% · Меньше 36%

ФК Трансинвест II1.01

Гости share of expected goals 30.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Нет 43%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

BFA Vilnius

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Трансинвест II

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
20%
12
Points from supplied form
1
2.29
Expected goals
1.01
BFA VilniusФК Трансинвест II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01BFA Vilnius signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Трансинвест II signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

BFA Vilnius vs ФК Трансинвест II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

BFA Vilnius выигрыш 56%,Ничья 24%,ФК Трансинвест II выигрыш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · ТБ 2.5 64% · Current selection Больше