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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Partita ·

BFA Vilnius vs FK Transinvest II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.30 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa55%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite21%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa55% selection probability
Projected score2–1BFA VilniusFK Transinvest II
Expected goals3.30Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra64% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
55% / 24% / 21%Esito partitaVittoria casa55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Transinvest II win (20.6%)Doppia Chance1X79.4%1.26
Sopra 64% · Sotto 36%Goals 2.5Sopra64%1.56
Sì 58% · No 42%Entrambe le squadre segnano58%1.72
3.30 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
BFA Vilnius win55%1.82
Pareggio24%4.17
FK Transinvest II win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

BFA Vilnius2.28

Casa share of expected goals 69.1%

Total expected goals3.30Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 64% · Sotto 36%

FK Transinvest II1.02

Trasferta share of expected goals 30.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 58% · No 42%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

BFA Vilnius

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

FK Transinvest II

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vinta probability excluding draw
21%
12
Points from supplied form
1
2.28
Expected goals
1.02
BFA VilniusFK Transinvest II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01BFA Vilnius signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Transinvest II signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

BFA Vilnius vs FK Transinvest II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

BFA Vilnius vinta 55%,Pareggio 24%,FK Transinvest II vinta 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · Sopra 2.5 64% · Current selection Sopra