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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Αγώνας ·

BFA Vilnius vs Τρανσινβέστ ΙΙ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου56%
Ισοπαλία24%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου20%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου56% selection probability
Projected score2–1BFA VilniusΤρανσινβέστ ΙΙ
Expected goals3.31Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω64% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
56% / 24% / 20%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Τρανσινβέστ ΙΙ win (20.3%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X79.7%1.25
Άνω 64% · Κάτω 36%Goals 2.5Άνω64%1.56
Ναι 57% · Όχι 43%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι57%1.75
3.31 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
10.0 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
BFA Vilnius win56%1.79
Ισοπαλία24%4.17
Τρανσινβέστ ΙΙ win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

BFA Vilnius2.30

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 69.5%

Total expected goals3.31Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 64% · Κάτω 36%

Τρανσινβέστ ΙΙ1.01

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 30.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 57% · Όχι 43%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

BFA Vilnius

2.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Πόντοι12

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Τρανσινβέστ ΙΙ

0.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Πόντοι1

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
20%
12
Points from supplied form
1
2.30
Expected goals
1.01
BFA VilniusΤρανσινβέστ ΙΙ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01BFA Vilnius signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Τρανσινβέστ ΙΙ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

BFA Vilnius vs Τρανσινβέστ ΙΙ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

BFA Vilnius νίκη 56%,Ισοπαλία 24%,Τρανσινβέστ ΙΙ νίκη 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Άνω 2.5 64% · Current selection Άνω