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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Round 18 ·

Τάουρας vs Νεπτούνας Κλαϊπέντα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.89 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου43%
Ισοπαλία28%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου29%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου43% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΤάουραςΝεπτούνας Κλαϊπέντα
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω55% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
43% / 28% / 29%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1272.4%1.38
Άνω 55% · Κάτω 45%Goals 2.5Άνω55%1.82
Ναι 57% · Όχι 43%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι57%1.75
2.89 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.8 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Τάουρας win43%2.33
Ισοπαλία28%3.57
Νεπτούνας Κλαϊπέντα win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Τάουρας1.69

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 58.5%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 55% · Κάτω 45%

Νεπτούνας Κλαϊπέντα1.20

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 41.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 57% · Όχι 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Τάουρας

2.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Πόντοι13

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Νεπτούνας Κλαϊπέντα

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
29%
13
Points from supplied form
10
1.69
Expected goals
1.20
ΤάουραςΝεπτούνας Κλαϊπέντα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Τάουρας signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Νεπτούνας Κλαϊπέντα signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Τάουρας vs Νεπτούνας Κλαϊπέντα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Τάουρας νίκη 43%,Ισοπαλία 28%,Νεπτούνας Κλαϊπέντα νίκη 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Άνω 2.5 55% · Current selection Άνω