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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Round 18 ·

FK Tauras vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.89 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier43%
Uavgjort28%
Borteseier29%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier43% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK TaurasFK Neptunas Klaipeda
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
43% / 28% / 29%KampresultatHjemmeseier43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Dobbel sjanse1272.4%1.38
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Ja 57% · Nei 43%Begge lag scorerJa57%1.75
2.89 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
FK Tauras win43%2.33
Uavgjort28%3.57
FK Neptunas Klaipeda win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Tauras1.69

Hjemme share of expected goals 58.5%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

FK Neptunas Klaipeda1.20

Borte share of expected goals 41.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nei 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FK Tauras

2.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poeng13

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

FK Neptunas Klaipeda

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
29%
13
Points from supplied form
10
1.69
Expected goals
1.20
FK TaurasFK Neptunas Klaipeda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Tauras signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Neptunas Klaipeda signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FK Tauras vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Tauras vunnet 43%,Uavgjort 28%,FK Neptunas Klaipeda vunnet 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over