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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Round 18 ·

FK Atmosfera vs FA Siauliai II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–13.93 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier72%
Uavgjort17%
Borteseier10%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier72% selection probability
Projected score3–1FK AtmosferaFA Siauliai II
Expected goals3.93Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over75% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
72% / 17% / 10%KampresultatHjemmeseier72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FA Siauliai II win (10.5%)Dobbel sjanse1X89.5%1.12
Over 75% · Under 25%Goals 2.5Over75%1.33
Ja 49% · Nei 51%Begge lag scorerNei51%1.96
3.93 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
9.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
FK Atmosfera win72%1.39
Uavgjort17%5.88
FA Siauliai II win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Atmosfera3.21

Hjemme share of expected goals 81.7%

Total expected goals3.93Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 75% · Under 25%

FA Siauliai II0.72

Borte share of expected goals 18.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nei 51%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FK Atmosfera

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

FA Siauliai II

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poeng3

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
10%
6
Points from supplied form
3
3.21
Expected goals
0.72
FK AtmosferaFA Siauliai II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Atmosfera signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FA Siauliai II signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FK Atmosfera vs FA Siauliai II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 3–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Atmosfera vunnet 72%,Uavgjort 17%,FA Siauliai II vunnet 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.93 · Over 2.5 75% · Current selection Over