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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Round 18 ·

FK Ατμόσφερα vs FA Σιαουλιάι II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score3–13.93 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου72%
Ισοπαλία17%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου10%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου72% selection probability
Projected score3–1FK ΑτμόσφεραFA Σιαουλιάι II
Expected goals3.93Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω75% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
72% / 17% / 10%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FA Σιαουλιάι II win (10.5%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X89.5%1.12
Άνω 75% · Κάτω 25%Goals 2.5Άνω75%1.33
Ναι 49% · Όχι 51%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι51%1.96
3.93 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ3–1
9.8 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
FK Ατμόσφερα win72%1.39
Ισοπαλία17%5.88
FA Σιαουλιάι II win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Ατμόσφερα3.21

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 81.7%

Total expected goals3.93Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 75% · Κάτω 25%

FA Σιαουλιάι II0.72

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 18.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitΝαι 49% · Όχι 51%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

FK Ατμόσφερα

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

FA Σιαουλιάι II

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
10%
6
Points from supplied form
3
3.21
Expected goals
0.72
FK ΑτμόσφεραFA Σιαουλιάι II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Ατμόσφερα signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FA Σιαουλιάι II signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FK Ατμόσφερα vs FA Σιαουλιάι II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 3–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Ατμόσφερα νίκη 72%,Ισοπαλία 17%,FA Σιαουλιάι II νίκη 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.93 · Άνω 2.5 75% · Current selection Άνω