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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Round 18 ·

FK Atmosfera vs FA Siauliai II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score3–13.93 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile67%
Nul18%
Victoire à l’extérieur15%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile67% selection probability
Projected score3–1FK AtmosferaFA Siauliai II
Expected goals3.93Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de75% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
67% / 18% / 15%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FA Siauliai II win (14.9%)Double chance1X85.1%1.18
Plus de 75% · Moins de 25%Goals 2.5Plus de75%1.33
Oui 49% · Non 51%Les deux équipes marquentNon51%1.96
3.93 total expected goalsScore exact3–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapFK Atmosfera winDifference+2.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Atmosfera win67%1.491.3864.9%+2.1 pp
Nul18%5.564.7518.8%-0.8 pp
FA Siauliai II win15%6.675.5016.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Atmosfera3.21

Domicile share of expected goals 81.7%

Total expected goals3.93Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 75% · Moins de 25%

FA Siauliai II0.72

Extérieur share of expected goals 18.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitOui 49% · Non 51%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FK Atmosfera

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

FA Siauliai II

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Gagné probability excluding draw
15%
6
Points from supplied form
3
3.21
Expected goals
0.72
FK AtmosferaFA Siauliai II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Atmosfera signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FA Siauliai II signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

FK Atmosfera vs FA Siauliai II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Atmosfera victoire 67%,Nul 18%,FA Siauliai II victoire 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.93 · Plus de 2.5 75% · Current selection Plus de