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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Round 18 ·

ФК Атмосфера vs Шяуляй II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score3–13.93 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев72%
Ничья17%
Победа гостей10%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 72% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев72% selection probability
Projected score3–1ФК АтмосфераШяуляй II
Expected goals3.93Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше75% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
72% / 17% / 10%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Шяуляй II win (10.5%)Двойной шанс1X89.5%1.12
Больше 75% · Меньше 25%Goals 2.5Больше75%1.33
Да 49% · Нет 51%Обе забьютНет51%1.96
3.93 total expected goalsТочный счёт3–1
9.8 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ФК Атмосфера win72%1.39
Ничья17%5.88
Шяуляй II win10%10.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Атмосфера3.21

Хозяева share of expected goals 81.7%

Total expected goals3.93Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 75% · Меньше 25%

Шяуляй II0.72

Гости share of expected goals 18.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 49% · Нет 51%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Атмосфера

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Шяуляй II

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
10%
6
Points from supplied form
3
3.21
Expected goals
0.72
ФК АтмосфераШяуляй II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Атмосфера signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Шяуляй II signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

ФК Атмосфера vs Шяуляй II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 3–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Атмосфера выигрыш 72%,Ничья 17%,Шяуляй II выигрыш 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.93 · ТБ 2.5 75% · Current selection Больше