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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Матч ·

ДФК Дайнава vs ФК Бабрунгас

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.51 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев23%
Ничья35%
Победа гостей42%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей42% selection probability
Projected score1–1ДФК ДайнаваФК Бабрунгас
Expected goals1.51Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше80% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет74% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
23% / 35% / 42%Исход матчаПобеда гостей42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ДФК Дайнава win (22.7%)Двойной шансX277.3%1.29
Больше 20% · Меньше 80%Goals 2.5Меньше80%1.25
Да 26% · Нет 74%Обе забьютНет74%1.35
1.51 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.2 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ДФК Дайнава win23%4.35
Ничья35%2.86
ФК Бабрунгас win42%2.38

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ДФК Дайнава0.52

Хозяева share of expected goals 34.4%

Total expected goals1.51Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 20% · Меньше 80%

ФК Бабрунгас0.99

Гости share of expected goals 65.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 26% · Нет 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ДФК Дайнава

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Бабрунгас

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
42%
13
Points from supplied form
13
0.52
Expected goals
0.99
ДФК ДайнаваФК Бабрунгас
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ДФК Дайнава signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Бабрунгас signalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

ДФК Дайнава vs ФК Бабрунгас FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ДФК Дайнава выигрыш 23%,Ничья 35%,ФК Бабрунгас выигрыш 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.51 · ТБ 2.5 20% · Current selection Меньше