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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Wedstrijd ·

DFK Dainava vs FK Babrungas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.51 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst23%
Gelijkspel35%
Uitwinst42%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst42% selection probability
Projected score1–1DFK DainavaFK Babrungas
Expected goals1.51Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder80% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee74% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
23% / 35% / 42%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes DFK Dainava win (22.7%)Dubbele KansX277.3%1.29
Boven 20% · Onder 80%Goals 2.5Onder80%1.25
Ja 26% · Nee 74%Beide teams scorenNee74%1.35
1.51 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
DFK Dainava win23%4.35
Gelijkspel35%2.86
FK Babrungas win42%2.38

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

DFK Dainava0.52

Thuis share of expected goals 34.4%

Total expected goals1.51Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 20% · Onder 80%

FK Babrungas0.99

Uit share of expected goals 65.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 26% · Nee 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

DFK Dainava

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FK Babrungas

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
42%
13
Points from supplied form
13
0.52
Expected goals
0.99
DFK DainavaFK Babrungas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01DFK Dainava signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Babrungas signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

DFK Dainava vs FK Babrungas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

DFK Dainava gewonnen 23%,Gelijkspel 35%,FK Babrungas gewonnen 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.51 · Boven 2.5 20% · Current selection Onder